Interesting theory. My opinion is that you got some right, but missed others. But atht is purely opinion. You may be right all around, but I dont think Obama is that much of a nooby. I think he has played "Mr. Nice Guy" because he could, and still win. But now that he has lost, he may go down and dirty because he has to.
Already the "noobies" in the news are taking up the Clinton Mantra of seating the Florida and Michigan delegates. Talking about disenfranchisement and all. They sound oh so sincere, and like a holier than thou humanitarian. And it makes me laugh. If they really are that naive, they should not be reporting the news. And if they are feigning ignorance, then they should not be reporting the news since they are clearly on the Clinton Payroll.
In either case, it is going to make this so much more fun to watch. If Hillary does steal the nomination, that will probably be the best thing for blacks in the last 40 years as it just may wake them up that they have no power in the democrat party because they are a monolithic voting block. And power comes from leverage. So they can then leverage their block between the 2 parties and get real power.
As painful as it is for me to say this, the best thing for the country may be a hillary presidency. not for what she will do, but for what it will cause. A fever is not an illness, but an indication of the body curing itself. And it is painful, but necessary. Just as a hillary win may be. By her own hook and crook (and totally unintentionally) she will do good, even as she tries to salve her over sized ego.